16 Aug

The climate crisis has made heatwaves more likely – and when they do happen they tend to be longer and hotter than ever before 

Last Friday, the UK experienced its hottest day in August for 17 years as temperatures hit an unbearable high of 36.4 Celsius in the south east of England. That came just two weeks after the Met Office logged the UK’s third hottest day on record, when temperatures soared to 37.8C.

For many, it feels like this never-ending series of summer heatwaves is becoming more intense every year. And while thousands of people might have flocked to the beach to bathe in the scorching sun, many are also left wondering – is this the new normal? And has the climate crisis made sweltering heatwaves like this one more likely to occur?

For many climate scientists, the answer is a resounding yes. The World Weather Attribution initiative (WWA) has been conducting analyses of recent extreme weather events to try and understand if the climate crisis has exacerbated these phenomena by comparing extreme weather events with models in which carbon emissions have not altered the temperature of the Earth.

In July 2019, the UK experienced its highest temperature on record when it reached 38.7C in Cambridge. In a report released shortly after the summer 2019 heatwave swept Europe, the WWA found that the heatwave in the UK was made twice as likely because of climate change. While in the Netherlands and France, where temperatures reached 40.7C and 41.2C respectively, the climate crisis had made the record-breaking heatwave 100 times more likely.


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